Thursday, June 21, 2012

Game 5 Predictions

The tide has already turned. Last week everyone was, "OKC in 5. OKC in 6." Now most everyone is convinced that Miami takes it tonight, which has led to reverberations of the "these All-Star teams built through free agency ruin the NBA". To the latter DBSF says--see Knicks, Clippers and Nets (for a failed case). The All-Star through free agency model doesn't work unless it includes acquiring LeBron James. Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, and Carmelo Anthony are a high 40 win team that makes it to the second round at best. The only unfortunate part about this is that two-and-a-half years ago LeBron probably could have convinced Bosh to come to Cleveland and, thus, there would be no uncertainty that this and all following championships were his.

With respect to tonight DBSF sees OKC by high single digits. James Harden has had only one decent game this series. He averaged 16 points on 60% shooting against Miami during two games in the regular season. Look for Harden's regression to the mean. Not to mention, OKC is too good to lose 4 straight. They'll take it back to OKC where they'll win game 6 and in game 7 LeBron will remind us why he will probably end up being considered the greatest athlete of the 21st century. Heat in 7. Still.

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